Dogecoin 15-minute market stats
Every KXDOGE15M window from Oct 12, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026: whether DOGE went up, how the odds did with 5 minutes left, and when it trades.
2,605 windows49.0% went up84% favorite won at 5 min left5.0M contracts a day
Last 96 windows
46 up, 50 down · Nov 7, 6:45 PM to Nov 8, 6:45 PM ET
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Up or down, by hour (ET)
DOGE went up in 49.0% of windows. With about 109 windows an hour, anything from 41% to 59% is ordinary swing. No hour stood outside it.
More ups More downs Ordinary swing
Table
| Starts (ET) | Windows | Went up |
|---|---|---|
| 12 AM | 112 | 49% |
| 1 AM | 116 | 41% |
| 2 AM | 112 | 55% |
| 3 AM | 96 | 49% |
| 4 AM | 96 | 42% |
| 5 AM | 112 | 46% |
| 6 AM | 112 | 54% |
| 7 AM | 112 | 54% |
| 8 AM | 112 | 50% |
| 9 AM | 112 | 44% |
| 10 AM | 112 | 48% |
| 11 AM | 112 | 51% |
| 12 PM | 109 | 46% |
| 1 PM | 108 | 48% |
| 2 PM | 105 | 47% |
| 3 PM | 105 | 52% |
| 4 PM | 104 | 51% |
| 5 PM | 104 | 49% |
| 6 PM | 103 | 48% |
| 7 PM | 103 | 49% |
| 8 PM | 112 | 51% |
| 9 PM | 112 | 45% |
| 10 PM | 112 | 56% |
| 11 PM | 112 | 51% |
After a streak
After 1 to 5+ windows the same way, the next one repeated 41% to 52% of the time: no better than a coin flip.
| In a row | Ups: up again | Downs: down again |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% of 671 | 52% of 671 |
| 2 | 46% of 334 | 45% of 348 |
| 3 | 43% of 155 | 48% of 156 |
| 4 | 41% of 66 | 48% of 75 |
| 5 or more | 44% of 48 | 52% of 73 |
The odds with 5 minutes left
The side priced as the favorite with 5 minutes left won 84% of the time. Prices matched results closely (2.0 points apart on average): after fees, buying at the ask lost money in 8 of 10 price ranges.
Won Price paid (middle of the range)
| Price paid | Times | Won | Per $1, after fees |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0¢–10¢ | 1,116 | 3% | −$0.41 |
| 10¢–20¢ | 444 | 11% | −$0.35 |
| 20¢–30¢ | 333 | 24% | −$0.08 |
| 30¢–40¢ | 294 | 34% | −$0.07 |
| 40¢–50¢ | 288 | 44% | −$0.05 |
| 50¢–60¢ | 276 | 54% | −$0.04 |
| 60¢–70¢ | 307 | 62% | −$0.06 |
| 70¢–80¢ | 304 | 73% | −$0.03 |
| 80¢–90¢ | 475 | 88% | +$0.03 |
| 90¢–100¢ | 1,173 | 97% | $0.00 |
When it trades (ET)
5.0M contracts and 216K trades a day. Busiest at 10 PM ET, quietest at 6 AM ET.
Table
| Hour (ET) | Contracts a day | Average spread |
|---|---|---|
| 12 AM | 240,019 | 2.2¢ |
| 1 AM | 229,930 | 2.8¢ |
| 2 AM | 203,156 | 2.5¢ |
| 3 AM | 162,497 | 2.4¢ |
| 4 AM | 154,539 | 2.2¢ |
| 5 AM | 156,046 | 2.3¢ |
| 6 AM | 140,259 | 2.1¢ |
| 7 AM | 145,494 | 2.4¢ |
| 8 AM | 180,576 | 2.2¢ |
| 9 AM | 193,493 | 2.0¢ |
| 10 AM | 215,043 | 2.0¢ |
| 11 AM | 213,182 | 2.3¢ |
| 12 PM | 218,065 | 2.1¢ |
| 1 PM | 211,384 | 2.1¢ |
| 2 PM | 220,902 | 2.5¢ |
| 3 PM | 234,268 | 2.7¢ |
| 4 PM | 230,164 | 2.6¢ |
| 5 PM | 245,213 | 2.5¢ |
| 6 PM | 229,292 | 2.7¢ |
| 7 PM | 232,935 | 2.3¢ |
| 8 PM | 246,478 | 2.1¢ |
| 9 PM | 240,981 | 2.8¢ |
| 10 PM | 253,231 | 2.3¢ |
| 11 PM | 246,852 | 2.5¢ |
How it's counted
- A window is one market: YES pays if DOGE is up at the end of its 15 minutes. Results come from Kalshi’s settlements.
- The price with 5 minutes left is from the 1-minute bar that ends then. Each window counts twice there: once for YES at its ask, once for NO at its ask (100¢ minus the YES bid).
- Return per $1 buys at that ask and pays Kalshi’s taker fee, 7% × price × (1 − price) per contract, before rounding.
- Hours are Eastern Time. Days are UTC days of our files, Oct 12, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026; hours we didn’t record are left out.